The 2025 season could be the most pivotal of Bo Bichette’s career with the Toronto Blue Jays. Entering a contract year, he’s looking to rebound from a disappointing 2024 campaign in which he batted just .225 while dealing with a calf injury. Speculation about his future in Toronto has been conflicting—some reports suggest he wants to remain with the team, while others claim he has no intention of returning after the season.

Regardless of his long-term plans, a strong season from Bichette would be beneficial for everyone involved. It would boost his value in free agency, whether he stays in Toronto or moves elsewhere, and it would also improve the Blue Jays’ chances of returning to the playoffs after missing out in 2024.

A strong 2025 season would not only solidify Bo Bichette’s reputation as one of the game’s elite shortstops but also make him a more attractive option in free agency. In fact, there’s reason to believe he could go beyond simply rebounding—he has the potential to achieve a 30/30 season.

What Would It Take for Bichette to Go 30/30?

First and foremost, Bichette needs to improve his ability to barrel the ball. Last season, his barrel rate was just 4.4%, the lowest of his career—an issue first highlighted by Just Baseball’s Clay Snowden. For comparison, in 2020, he barreled 12 of the 96 balls he put in play. In 2024, despite putting 249 balls in play, he managed just 11 barrels.

If Bichette can regain his power and elevate the ball more consistently, his path to a 30-homer, 30-steal season becomes much clearer.

Bichette also struggled against fastballs in 2024, batting just .232 against them after hitting .326 in 2023. While his expected batting average against fastballs last season was a more respectable .284, it was evident that he wasn’t the same hitter he had been in previous years.

If Bichette can return to his 2023 batted-ball metrics, he should see a significant uptick in home runs, bringing him closer to that 30/30 potential.

Reaching 30 home runs won’t be easy, especially since Bichette’s career-high is 29, but he’s entering his age-27 season—a time when many players hit their power peak. While FanGraphs projects him to hit just 18 home runs in 2025, he should be able to surpass that mark if he stays healthy.

Last season, Bichette posted a career-low hard-hit rate of 43.7%, down from his career average of 46.8%. If he can get back to that level, it’s not hard to imagine him piling up home runs. He thrives when driving the ball into the outfield, and with a bit of luck, some of those liners could clear the short porch in center at Rogers Centre.
The other half of a 30/30 season for Bichette is stealing bases. He set a career-high with 25 steals in 2021 but has only accumulated 23 steals combined over the past three seasons. The Blue Jays don’t have any standout base stealers on their roster, with George Springer leading the team last year with 16. The last Blue Jay to steal 30 or more bases in a season was José Reyes in 2014. If Bichette can recapture some of his speed from 2021, he could make a strong push for 30 steals in 2025.
With new second baseman Andrés Giménez coming off two consecutive 30-steal seasons, it’s easy to envision the Blue Jays becoming more aggressive on the basepaths in 2025. Bichette, known for his smart baserunning, should be on base more often this year, which could quietly set him up for a 30-steal season. If he can stay aggressive and capitalize on opportunities, reaching that 30-steal mark is definitely within reach.