The Toronto Maple Leafs are entering the 2024-25 season with high expectations and a belief that they can overcome past playoff challenges. Despite keeping most of their forward core intact from last year, the team’s ability to progress hinges on several factors, including the performance of their newly-formed defense and goaltending duo. If the team starts poorly, faces regression from key players, or their revamped blue line fails to meet expectations, it could expose the limitations of the current strategy, potentially forcing the franchise to reassess its approach in a results-driven market.

While some may see this as overly pessimistic, there are significant obstacles to a major retool. The team’s salary cap is heavily invested in four players—Auston Matthews, William Nylander, John Tavares, and Mitch Marner—who all have no-move clauses. This complicates any potential trade discussions as these players have substantial control over their own futures. Similarly, other key players like Morgan Rielly, Chris Tanev, and various defensemen and goaltenders also have trade restrictions.

The players who might be available for trade, such as Ryan Reaves, Nick Robertson, and Timothy Liljegren, are unlikely to bring substantial returns. Reaves’ high salary and limited utility make him a hard sell, while Robertson’s potential is recognized, but his dissatisfaction limits his trade value. Liljegren could fetch a decent pick, but not much more in a retooling scenario.

Additionally, several players the Leafs might want to keep—like Bobby McMann and Matthew Knies—are valuable assets they would likely retain. Prospects such as Easton Cowan and Fraser Minten are also seen as part of the future and unlikely to be moved in any major reshuffle.

Overall, the Leafs’ current roster, with its built-in limitations and contractual restrictions, suggests that significant changes may be challenging. Without a major shift from a no-move player or a declaration of a full rebuild, the team will need to find a way to succeed with its existing lineup.